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It's Time to Get Serious about Silver

3 days 20 hours ago

Start laying in some physical gold and silver. There is compelling evidence that as the price reaches about $26, a major resistance point from years' past, "the public" – your friends and neighbors – will finally decide to join the crowd. With such a relatively small market you can be certain, assuming availability, both the price and the premiums will be much higher than they are today. So what's the point of waiting?

December 11: Gold and Silver Close Mixed with Stocks

Gold gained $5.20 to $1249.50 in London before it chopped back down to $1241.10 by midafternoon in New York, but it then bounced back higher into the close and ended with a loss of 0.1%. Silver rose to as high as $14.719 before it dropped back to $14.516, but it then rallied back higher in late trade and ended with a gain of 0.21%.

December 12: Gold and Silver Gain with Stocks

Gold chopped up to $1247.10 at about 1PM EST before it fell back off into midafternoon, but it then rallied back higher into the close and ended with a gain of 0.23%. Silver rose to as high as $14.794 and ended with a gain of 1.31%.

December 13: Gold and Silver Trade Mixed with Stocks

Gold held near unchanged in Asia before it dipped to $1240.30 in early New York trade and then bounced back higher at times, but it still ended with a loss of 0.24%. Silver chopped between $14.805 and $14.684 and ended with a gain of 0.2%.

December 14: Gold and Silver Fall Less Than 1% on the Week

Gold fell $9.90 to $1233.00 by a little after 9:30AM EST before it climbed back towards unchanged by midday, but it then drifted back lower into the close and ended with a loss of 0.37%. Silver slipped to as low as $14.493 and ended with a loss of 1.29%.

December 17: Gold and Silver Gain Almost 1% While Stocks Drop Over 2%

Gold saw slight losses in Asia, but it then climbed steadily higher in London and New York and ended near its early afternoon high of $1248.10 with a gain of 0.65%. Silver rose to as high as $14.70 and ended with a gain of 0.62%.

December 18: Gold Gains While Stocks Struggle Higher

Gold erased early Asian gains and dipped to $1245.10 at about 2AM EST before it rallied up to $1250.30 in London and then fell to see slight losses by midmorning in New York, but it then climbed back higher into the close and ended with a gain of 0.24%. Silver chopped between $14.721 and $14.613 and ended with a loss of 0.2%.

December 19: Gold and Silver Fall After Fed Tightens

Gold edged up to $1251.40 in Asia before it dropped back to $1246.80 in London and then jumped up to $1258.00 at about 10:30AM EST, but it then fell to as low as $1241.90 after today’s fed announcement and ended with a loss of 0.58%. Silver rose to as high as $14.821 before it fell back to $14.55, but it ended with a loss of just 0.41%.

December 20: Gold and Silver Gain Over 1% While Stocks Drop Nearly 2%

Gold gained $24.30 to a new 5-month high at $1266.30 by early afternoon in New York before it chopped back lower into the close, but it still ended with a gain of 1.53%. Silver rose to as high as $14.841 and ended with a gain of 1.3%.

December 24: Gold and Silver Gain Over 1% While Stocks Drop Almost 3%

Gold gained nearly $10 in Asia before it halved its gains in London, but it then rose to new 6-month highs in New York and ended with a gain of 1.08%. Silver climbed to as high as $14.776 and ended with a gain of 1.03%.

December 26: Gold and Silver Closed Mixed While Stocks Rebound

Gold gained $10 to a new 6-month high at $1279.00 by late morning in New York before it sold off in afternoon trade, but it ended with a loss of just 0.22%. Silver rose to as high as $15.17 and ended with a gain of 1.76%.

December 27: Gold and Silver Hold 1% Gains in Face of Stocks Reversal

Gold gained $12.70 to $1278.90 in early afternoon New York trade before it edged back lower into the close, but it still ended with a gain of 0.69%. Silver rose to as high as $15.267 and ended with a gain of 1.33%.

December 28: Gold and Silver Gain Roughly 2% and 5% on the Week

Gold gained $7.10 to $1282.00 in Asia before it pared back in London, but it then bounced back higher in New York and ended with a gain of 0.4%. Silver rose to as high as $15.389 and ended with a gain of 0.92%.

Gold to Silver Ratio: So What?

Silver prices move up and down farther than gold prices. That pushes the gold-silver ratio too high, like now, when silver is inexpensive. Or it pushes the ratio too low, as in January 1980, when silver prices zoomed upward too far and too fast. When the gold to silver ratio exceeds 80, it is often a good time to buy silver.

January 2: Gold and Silver End Higher in Mixed Trade

Gold gained $6.50 to $1288.70 in late Asian trade before it dropped back under unchanged at $1278.90 by early afternoon in New York, but it then bounced back higher into the close and ended with a gain of 0.06%. Silver rose to as high as $15.607 and ended with a gain of 0.26%.

January 3: Gold and Silver Gain About 1% While Stocks Drop Roughly 3%

Gold gained $9.30 to $1292.30 in Asia before it dropped back to $1284.80 just after 8:15AM EST, but it then climbed back higher in New York and ended near its new 6-1/2 month high of $1294.70 with a gain of 0.9%. Silver rose to as high as $15.751 and ended with a gain of 1.42%.

January 4: Gold Gains and Silver Rises 2% on the Week

Gold edged up to $1298.40 in Asia before it fell back to $1277.30 by midmorning in New York and then bounced back higher into midday, but it still ended with a loss of 0.75%. Silver slipped to as low as $15.585 and ended with a loss of 0.32%.

Surest Way to Overthrow Capitalism

As the price of silver rose over 2% this week, the cobasis basically held steady. There is some buying of metal here, and some speculation too. This is not exactly the picture of a feeding frenzy, with an outlook of silver-to-da-moon. But nor is it a sign of a speculative blip, with a prognosis of a crash. The Monetary Metals Silver Fundamental Price rose 12 cents, to $15.91. This week, of course, the stock market went up. Does the incredible bull market roar back to life? We are not stock market prognosticators, but we don’t think so if the Fed stays the course. As we’ve written, the discount on future earnings is higher now and therefore the present value is lower. Also, the interest expense is up and this will crush the marginal debtors.

What’s the best speculative asset for 2019: silver or Bitcoin?

Silver is a somewhat comparable speculative alternative to Bitcoin. It has been used as money since the dawn of civilisation, albeit as monetary metal not computer code. In recent years silver has become more of a speculative asset than a currency, although it is also a very useful industrial metal. It’s vital for smartphones and other electronic products.

January 15: Gold and Silver End Slightly Lower in Mixed Trade

Gold dipped $4 to $1287.60 at about 5AM EST before it rose to as high as $1294.70 by midmorning in New York and then fell to a new session low of $1286.90 by early afternoon, but it then rallied back higher into the close and ended with a loss of just 0.19%. Silver chopped between $15.542 and $15.694 and ended with a loss of 0.38%.

January 16: Gold and Silver Rise with Stocks

Gold edged up to $1292.70 in Asia before it pared back to $1288.00 in London, but it then climbed to a new 6-month high at $1294.90 in New York and ended with a gain of 0.32%. Silver chopped between $15.494 and $15.642 and ended with a gain of 0.13%.

January 17: Gold and Silver Edge Lower While Stocks Rise on Trade Talk

Gold chopped between $1291.40 and $1295.00 in Asia before it dipped to $1288.90 by midmorning in New York, but it then bounced back higher into the close and ended with a loss of just 0.12%. Silver slipped to as low as $15.457 and ended with a loss of 0.38%.

January 18: Gold and Silver Fall Almost 1% and 2% on the Week

Gold fell $10.50 to $1281.30 at about 8:30AM EST before it chopped back higher in morning New York trade, but it then fell back off gain in late trade and ended with a loss of 0.86%. Silver slipped to as low as $15.327 and ended with a loss of 1.29%.

Arizona Legislator Proposes Securing State Reserves with Gold and Silver

An Arizona legislator has put forward a bill to de-risk the state’s financial holdings with a modest allocation to physical gold and silver in the state’s reserve fund. Introduced by Representative Mark Finchem (R-Tucson), the Arizona Sound Money Stabilization Act (HB 2500) requires that at least 10% of Arizona’s Budget Stabilization Fund be held in the monetary metals in a secure depository.

Silver Market Trends - 2019 (The Silver Institute)

(Washington D.C. – February 5, 2019) Last year, the silver market faced a challenging environment which was reflected in a muted price performance. Preliminary estimates point towards a minor 0.3 percent increase in total supply whereas demand contracted 3 percent. A slowing Chinese economy, coupled with rising U.S. interest rates, an equity market bull run, and global trade tensions, affected the price performance across many markets, including gold and silver. This year, we expect the sentiment to be more supportive for the silver market. The start of 2019 has already proven to be good for silver investors. The U.S. Mint for example, sold 12 percent more American Eagles in January compared to January 2018. In addition, the expected slowdown in the U.S. FED rate hiking cycle should also benefit silver, which in comparison to gold, has a very attractive price point based on the high gold:silver ratio at around 82. Against this backdrop, the Silver Institute provides the following insights on 2019 silver market trends.

New Pacific Reports High Recovery of Silver Achieved for Sulphides and Transitional Mineralized Materials from Silver Sand, Bolivia

VANCOUVER, British Columbia – February 7, 2019 – New Pacific Metals Corp. (TSX-V:NUAG) (OTCQX:NUPMF) (the “Company”) is pleased to announce the preliminary results of the first metallurgical test work for its Silver Sand project in Potosi, Bolivia. Metallurgical sampling and test work commenced in September 2018 – the flotation recovery and bottle roll leaching test works for the transition and sulphide mineralized materials have been completed and test work on the oxides is under way. All tests, including column leaching test works, are expected to be completed by the end of April 2019. Positive recovery results have been achieved in the extraction of silver by the processes of flotation and direct cyanidation from the initial metallurgical test work.

GoldSeek Radio Nugget: David Morgan - "We will see some kind of a rally this summer in metals"

The world's appetite for US' debt has peaked a few years ago. It is De-Dollarization..

Silver – Eight Years Later

Eight years ago, silver reached $48 per ounce. COMEX changed the margin requirements, and others dumped thousands of paper contracts on the COMEX market to smash prices lower. They succeeded, as usual. Old news! As they say, “Wash, rinse and repeat.” Gold and silver prices fell hard since their 2011 highs, while central banks levitated the S&P 500 Index, most stocks, and bonds with massive infusions of cheap debt. Central banks also purchased stocks and bonds. Inexpensive debt, QE, and bond monetization were good for the DOW and S&P 500 stocks. Central banks are reluctant to change policies, but the world may have arrived at another “Peak Debt” moment similar to 2008. What are prospects for silver and gold in the next several years? What data backs up the prognosis?

When (Not If) Silver Has a "Bitcoin Moment"

So, don't sit around with "not enough" – or not any – physical silver (and gold) until a "bitcoin moment" in the metals takes place. If you hesitate long enough, you just might find yourself benched during the entire "last 10% (and majority profit potential) of an explosive finale. But by all means, avoid contracting a terminal case of FOMO (fear of missing out), which causes you to buy the top!

Bolivian gov’t seeks a new deal with miners, says Minister Navarro

Although the state has ownership of the resource, it grants the company a lengthy concession period during which it can explore, build and operate a mine. In exchange, the company promises to undertake certain investments in stages throughout the project’s life, including rehabilitating the site when the mine closes. Once signed with Comibol, the contract is sent to Congress, where it would be approved as a law and finally promulgated by the president himself, giving the contract considerable legal weight. In January, Navarro signed the first such deal for an exploration project with Vancouver-based New Pacific Metals (TSXV: NUAG; US-OTC: NUPMF). The 45-year contract is due to receive legislative approval by mid-year.

Rocket Fuel

According to silver analyst Theodore Butler, various hedge funds are currently short 440 million ounces of silver on the COMEX futures market. That’s over half the silver that’s mined in a year. These funds manage money for big investors and they rely on computerized trading programs. Human judgements and emotions don’t enter into trading decisions. Their foremost trading strategy is to buy or sell when moving averages are penetrated. If the price of silver or gold moves upward to the point it goes through the average of prices over the past 50 days, it causes some short selling programs to buy and close out their short position. A penetration of the more important 200 day moving average sparks major buying and can lift the price significantly.

New Pacific Reports First Results from 2019 Drill Program at Silver Sand, Bolivia – Continuing intersecting wide silver mineralization near surface including 169 g/t silver over 144.2m

The 2019 drilling program at Silver Sand commenced in late April and is expected continue throughout rest of the year. These first eight holes were part of the infill drilling program to bring drill hole density to approximately 25 metre by 25 metre spacing and to produce a mineral resource estimate in accordance with NI 43-101 at the end of 2019. These holes were approximately oriented at azimuths of 60 degrees and dips of -45 degrees. These first eight infill holes have intercepted significant silver mineralization similar to those reported from the 2018 drilling program, and adequately confirms the continuity of mineralization within the drilled extents.

Kootenay Reports Columba Access Road and Surface Access Agreement Completed

Since acquiring Columba, the Company has undertaken a mapping and surface sampling program with silver grades of up to 693 gpt sampled on surface. This area includes a network of underground workings comprised of 4 shafts and 6 levels of drifts reported to measure over 1,000 meters in length. Historic* mine records indicate grades from these underground workings to range from 600 to 900 gpt silver with highlights of 1,900 gpt silver over 4 meters and 679 gpt silver along 133 meters of vein strike and 1.3 meters of vein width. (Click on this link to view a video that illustrates the historic underground mining data).

The Rise of Silver and Major Economic Decline

Currently silver priced in the Dow is close to all-time lows. Economic conditions has been favourable to paper and debt-based assets. The bullish wedge is an indication that all this is about to change. There has now been a breakout of the wedge and the ratio seems ready to go much higher. On the chart, I have indicated how the periods indicated by the green arrows have been associated with economic prosperity, and the red one with economic decline...

These Two Charts Virtually Scream “Buy Silver”

Silver is currently trading around $14.84 an ounce. This is around 30% of its 1980 all-time high of $50. However, this is an incomplete representation of what silver is really trading at, relative to US dollars. When you look at the silver price, relative to US currency (the amount of actual US dollars) in existence, then it is at its lowest value it has ever been (see chart below). Also, it is ridiculous that one ounce of silver cost $50 in 1980 when there were about 132 billion dollars in existence, whereas today it is only $14.84 at a time when there are 3 304 billion dollars in existence (note that I have used rounded numbers which created some distortion).

Will Silver Soon Follow Gold’s Lead?

The super-rich and large institutional investors who are more apt to take contrarian positions in overlooked assets generally prefer gold over silver because it is more convenient for them to accumulate in large quantities. We are still in the stealth phase of a precious metals bull market. When we enter the public participation phase – and demand for physical bullion increases – we have no doubt that silver will shine.

If History Still Matters, Silver Is Poised For A Huge Move

It’s been a pretty good couple of months for precious metals, but more so for gold than silver. Both are up but gold is up more, and the imbalance that this creates might be one of the major investment themes of the next few years. The gold/silver ratio – that is, how many ounces of silver it takes to buy an ounce of gold – has bounced all over the place since the 1960s. But whenever it’s gotten extremely high – say above 80 – silver outperformed gold, sometimes dramatically.

Kootenay to Commence Drilling at Columba Silver Project, Mexico

Kootenay President and CEO, James McDonald stated: "We are excited to test the vein system to confirm the historically reported grades and widths. The first 12 holes of the drill program will be designed to test the F vein where underground development work extended to 200 meter depth and the historic mining occurred."

A Pretty Ugly COT Report in Gold. Silver..

Also in silver, 26 non-U.S. banks are net short 36,928 COMEX contracts in the July BPR...which is up a decent amount from the 27,599 contracts that 21 non-U.S. banks were short in the June BPR. I would suspect that Canada's Scotiabank [and maybe one other, the BIS perhaps] holds a goodly chunk of the short position of these non-U.S. banks. I believe that a number of the remaining 24 non-U.S. banks may actually net long the COMEX futures market in silver. But even if they aren't, the remaining short positions divided up between these other 24 non-U.S. banks are immaterial - and have always been so. As of July's Bank Participation Report, 30 banks [both U.S. and foreign] are net short 36.5 percent of the entire open interest in the COMEX futures market in silver-which is up a monstrous amount from the 16.3 percent that they were net short in the June BPR - with much, much more than the lion's share of that held by Citigroup, HSBC USA, JPMorgan, Scotiabank -- and certainly one other non-U.S. bank.

Very Long-Term Silver

Just for fun because I am a chart guy who all too often bores you (and me) to death with ratio and indicator charts and all too seldom makes charts just for the fun of it anymore… So this long-term silver chart is just for the fun of it. What do we have here?

This Needs To Happen Before Silver Really Takes Off

What is significant about this peak-level in the Gold/Silver ratio is the fact that it is so close, and follows the 2016 bottom in interest rates. These confirm that some very serious credit woes are coming. It is likely on a scale not seen over the last 100 years. We can expect a rush for real monetary assets as never seen before. This will put silver again at the forefront of money and monetary solutions.

Gold & Silver Miners: The Hot Action Is Now

- Please click here now. Double-click to enlarge this daily silver chart. Like Rodney Dangerfield, silver doesn’t get much respect, but that’s because inflation has yet to really surge. - Having said that, the silver chart is beginning to look quite bullish. A breakout from an inverse H&S bottom pattern has occurred, and the pullback was flag-like. - The target of both the flag and the H&S pattern is the $16.50 area highs of February.

Silver's Promising Surge

Buyers surpassed a 15.840 target I'd flagged earlier in the week with such ease that a test of a more daunting obstacle at 16.470 seems all but inevitable. That's where September Silver double-topped earlier in 2019. If the rally should exceed these peaks as easily as did the 15.840 pivot today, that would greatly strengthen the case that a powerful new bull market has begun. More immediately, look for a short-term finishing stroke to 16.190, the Hidden Pivot target of the pattern shown in the chart.

Silver rallies to its highest in over a year, plays ‘catch up’ to gold’s gains

"He said gold and silver investors have not missed much of this rally, though in the short term the rally may be overextended when it comes to some miners. Over the coming months and year, however, Spina believes he sees “one of the best risk/reward [opportunities] in the gold/silver sector since I started buying juniors as a teenager, some 25-[plus] years ago.”

Silver Seems To Shock The Market

Well, as I think about it, I am starting to understand the shock if you had been reading what everyone has been writing about silver. Whereas the rest of the complex has already moved strongly higher, silver has been significantly lagging. And, I have been hearing one excuse after another as to why it is lagging, such as silver “has been acting as an industrial metal.”. But, last I looked, the economy was humming along. So, why would an industrial metal be lagging? Moreover, it certainly did not act like an industrial metal on Tuesday.

Precious Metals Big Picture, as Silver Gets on Its Horse

While many are talking about major new bull markets in gold, silver and the miners I find it safer to set realistic goals within a still very bullish outlook. After all, we became bullish in November, had to retrench due to over-bullish sentiment and fading fundamentals in February (both situations linked here) and then have been back in the bull seat since the gold stock launch as noted on June 3rd. The point being, I have nothing to prove to you; nothing to woo you and tempt your greed impulse about. NFTRH has simply called the sector in line with its fundamentals and technicals, and that is what we continue to do as of this day. We chart 20 quality miners (+/-) each week and note short-term targets, resistance, etc. for the miners, gold and silver routinely.